Bayesian Gem

STEVEN

Garnet, how does future vision work?

CONNIE

I was wondering that myself. Profitably acting on information from the future would require changing that future, a paradox at odds with our ordinary conception of causality. And yet on the other hand, acting on predictions about likely futures is precisely how intelligence works anyway ...

GARNET

Better let Pearl explain this one.

PEARL

Me? But, Garnet, I don't—

JUDEA PEARL

She was referring to me.

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